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Red111
281142.4
492027.1
5128.8
Blue88
715733.3
459318.6
950118.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056640608012014011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.4
40.641.0
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
red by 9.1
7157
#39
33.31.2
30.932.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
51
#46
28.80.4
24.024.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 10.2
4593
#61
18.61.2
17.618.8
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
4920
#69
27.10.4
25.726.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
red by 8.8
9501
#50
18.31.2
15.917.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsEarned