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Red104
36847.0
206734.3
940012.5
Blue103
940510.9
745130.4
91035.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10675204060120140160104103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#13
47.00.8
45.245.9
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 11.3
910
#29
35.81.7
34.336.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Second
2067
#26
34.30.8
35.135.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End4.8
red by 3.9
7451
#42
30.41.7
28.230.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
9400
#51
12.50.8
12.313.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
red by 1.6
9405
#72
10.91.7
9.311.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed