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Red50
84026.5
482827.5
32118.3
Blue95
14835.3
965916.5
64923.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818540601001205095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#49
27.52.2
28.125.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
blue by 7.8
148
#24
35.30.9
38.939.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
Second
840
#47
26.52.2
26.023.7
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 2.6
649
#40
23.90.9
23.324.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
321
#45
18.32.2
19.417.2
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End0.4
red by 1.8
9659
#33
16.50.9
14.315.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned59%Ensemble oddsMissed