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Red82
110827.4
808528.8
413515.6
Blue126
177152.6
691125.1
452243.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76122406010014016018082126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#48
28.80.2
28.328.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.5
blue by 23.8
52.61.4
50.151.5
Auto19.8
Teleop27.2
End5.6
Second
1108
#22
27.40.2
29.629.8
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
blue by 15.6
43.01.4
35.737.1
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Third
4135
#71
15.60.2
15.916.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 9.5
6911
#30
25.11.4
18.820.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned87%Ensemble oddsEarned