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Red102
943226.7
81539.5
11841.0
Blue72
360330.1
698915.3
10342.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8190406010012010272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#17
41.01.7
42.344.0
Auto14.0
Teleop21.2
End5.8
blue by 1.0
103
#25
42.00.7
38.237.5
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
Second
9432
#62
26.71.7
25.327.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End-0.1
blue by 3.4
3603
#68
30.10.7
28.227.5
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End1.9
Third
8153
#41
9.51.9
7.08.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
blue by 5.9
6989
#73
15.30.7
14.013.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed