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Red100
36847.0
110827.4
64923.9
Blue88
331438.3
698915.3
198627.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157820406010014016010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#13
47.00.0
45.945.9
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 8.8
3314
#18
38.30.8
34.835.6
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Second
1108
#22
27.40.0
29.829.8
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
blue by 0.1
1986
#36
27.50.8
27.228.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.2
Third
649
#40
23.90.0
24.224.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
red by 8.5
6989
#73
15.30.8
13.314.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed