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Red84
13141.4
833810.5
750124.6
Blue73
459318.6
871711.3
492027.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81662040601001208473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
41.40.5
36.637.1
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
red by 14.3
4920
#69
27.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
Second
7501
#54
24.60.5
24.424.9
Auto11.5
Teleop11.6
End1.5
red by 6.0
4593
#61
18.60.0
18.818.8
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
8338
#58
10.50.5
10.711.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 0.8
8717
#67
11.30.0
16.516.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed