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Red100
942710.8
171033.8
715733.3
Blue74
887330.8
414612.3
901524.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886520408010012014016010074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#16
33.81.4
33.034.4
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
red by 3.0
8873
#70
30.80.8
28.629.4
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End2.9
Second
7157
#39
33.31.4
32.133.5
Auto12.3
Teleop18.8
End2.3
red by 8.6
9015
#38
24.80.8
21.822.7
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
9427
#60
10.81.4
11.913.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 1.5
4146
#75
12.30.8
11.212.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
75%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed