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Red43
281312.9
38639.2
440325.8
Blue124
402839.0
940012.5
169054.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49120010015020043124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#52
25.80.7
27.727.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.4
blue by 28.7
54.50.9
50.851.8
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End5.3
Second
2813
#59
12.90.7
12.411.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 26.0
39.00.9
36.437.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Third
3863
#74
9.20.7
12.812.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 3.3
9400
#51
12.50.9
13.013.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed81%Ensemble oddsEarned