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Red77
205233.5
691125.1
190220.4
Blue92
965916.5
593435.0
353842.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010040601201401601807792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#31
33.50.2
31.231.0
Auto11.2
Teleop18.7
End3.6
blue by 9.0
3538
#10
42.50.2
40.740.9
Auto13.0
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Second
6911
#30
25.10.2
23.022.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End2.2
blue by 9.8
5934
#15
35.00.2
31.331.5
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
1902
#66
20.40.2
21.020.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 3.9
9659
#33
16.50.2
16.316.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed79%Ensemble oddsMissed