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Red157
69440.3
205442.9
281142.4
Blue86
452243.0
14835.3
81539.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1378840608010012016018015786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.9
42.443.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.6
End6.2
blue by 0.1
43.00.3
39.339.0
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Second
42.40.9
41.041.9
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
red by 7.1
148
#24
35.30.3
37.637.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
Third
694
#14
40.30.9
35.136.0
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
red by 30.8
8153
#41
9.50.3
8.58.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
90%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsMissed