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Red76
64923.9
521630.0
698915.3
Blue71
286930.5
107632.7
940510.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738140601001207671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#12
30.00.6
28.529.1
Auto8.1
Teleop19.4
End2.4
blue by 2.8
1076
#32
32.70.3
34.434.0
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Second
649
#40
23.90.6
24.224.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
blue by 6.7
2869
#19
30.50.3
26.526.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
6989
#73
15.30.6
14.114.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 4.5
9405
#72
10.90.3
11.110.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed