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Red68
710221.1
950118.3
948021.7
Blue94
36847.0
413515.6
318425.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63962040801201406894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9480
#53
21.70.2
20.019.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 25.4
368
#13
47.00.7
45.946.7
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Second
7102
#56
21.10.2
23.923.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 4.0
3184
#44
25.10.7
21.822.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Third
9501
#50
18.30.2
17.116.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
red by 2.7
4135
#71
15.60.7
15.416.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsEarned