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Red82
44942.0
150634.4
110827.4
Blue116
153832.1
84026.5
10342.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121102608014016082116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#21
42.01.7
42.640.9
Auto16.0
Teleop22.2
End3.8
Level
103
#25
42.01.5
38.640.1
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
Second
1506
#20
34.41.7
34.532.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 2.3
1538
#43
32.11.5
31.332.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Third
1108
#22
27.41.7
29.828.2
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
red by 0.9
840
#47
26.51.5
24.225.7
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed