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Red106
206734.3
58141.8
331438.3
Blue59
479539.1
47355.6
482827.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138725010015020010659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#11
41.80.7
42.742.0
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 2.6
4795
#35
39.11.3
39.237.9
Auto12.5
Teleop25.5
End1.1
Second
3314
#18
38.30.7
35.634.9
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
red by 10.8
4828
#49
27.51.3
27.225.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
Third
2067
#26
34.30.7
38.637.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End4.8
red by 28.6
4735
#55
5.61.3
6.75.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
94%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed