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Red61
353842.5
459318.6
281312.9
Blue114
901524.8
42232.6
205442.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74114406010014016018061114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#10
42.51.0
40.939.9
Auto13.0
Teleop22.4
End7.1
blue by 0.5
42.91.1
43.344.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.6
End6.2
Second
4593
#61
18.61.0
18.817.8
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 14.1
422
#5
32.61.1
32.233.2
Auto9.8
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Third
2813
#59
12.91.0
11.710.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 11.8
9015
#38
24.81.1
22.723.7
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsEarned