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Red58
414612.3
69440.3
698915.3
Blue65
64923.9
750124.6
913413.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706640506080901005865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#14
40.30.3
36.035.7
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
red by 15.7
7501
#54
24.60.2
24.925.1
Auto11.5
Teleop11.6
End1.5
Second
6989
#73
15.30.3
14.714.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 8.5
649
#40
23.90.2
24.825.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
4146
#75
12.30.3
12.011.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 1.2
9134
#64
13.50.2
10.310.5
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed