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Red97
940012.5
553421.9
286930.5
Blue104
110827.4
81539.5
546045.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70922040608010012014016097104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#19
30.50.4
26.226.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 15.0
45.50.6
44.144.7
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End4.8
Second
5534
#57
21.90.4
25.926.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 5.5
1108
#22
27.40.6
28.228.7
Auto12.0
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Third
9400
#51
12.50.4
13.914.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
red by 3.0
8153
#41
9.50.6
8.28.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned59%Ensemble oddsEarned