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Red75
482827.5
950118.3
593435.0
Blue50
10342.0
833810.5
47355.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865920401001201407550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#15
35.00.0
31.531.6
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
blue by 7.0
103
#25
42.00.6
40.139.5
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
Second
4828
#49
27.50.0
25.926.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
red by 17.0
8338
#58
10.50.6
11.110.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
9501
#50
18.30.0
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
red by 12.6
4735
#55
5.60.6
5.54.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed