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Red80
107632.7
413515.6
157434.2
Blue82
58141.8
964226.8
962418.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9594607080901001101201308082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#27
34.20.4
35.835.4
Auto13.4
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 7.5
581
#11
41.80.5
42.041.4
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
1076
#32
32.70.4
34.033.6
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.4
red by 5.9
9642
#34
26.80.5
24.223.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
Third
4135
#71
15.60.4
16.115.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 2.5
9624
#37
18.10.5
19.018.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned43%Ensemble oddsEarned