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Red87
206734.3
2744.1
170013.1
Blue123
153832.1
281142.4
402839.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107126608010012014016018087123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#28
44.11.5
46.945.4
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
red by 1.7
42.40.1
41.942.0
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
Second
2067
#26
34.31.5
37.836.4
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End4.8
blue by 4.7
39.00.1
37.337.4
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
Third
1700
#63
13.11.5
14.713.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 18.9
1538
#43
32.10.1
32.732.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsEarned93%Ensemble oddsEarned