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Red102
81539.5
715733.3
69440.3
Blue77
205233.5
281312.9
423732.2
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847820406010012014010277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#14
40.31.4
35.737.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
red by 6.7
2052
#31
33.50.4
30.530.9
Auto11.2
Teleop18.7
End3.6
Second
7157
#39
33.31.4
31.232.6
Auto12.3
Teleop18.8
End2.3
red by 1.1
4237
#23
32.20.4
30.230.6
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
8153
#41
9.51.4
8.810.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
blue by 3.5
2813
#59
12.90.4
10.711.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsMissed