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Red86
64923.9
13141.4
47355.6
Blue81
948021.7
546045.5
38639.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74842040601001201408681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
41.40.5
38.038.5
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
blue by 4.1
45.50.3
44.745.0
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End4.8
Second
649
#40
23.90.5
25.025.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
red by 2.2
9480
#53
21.70.3
20.120.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Third
4735
#55
5.60.5
4.95.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 3.6
3863
#74
9.20.3
9.810.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned49%Ensemble oddsMissed