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Red119
190220.4
10342.0
42232.6
Blue103
69440.3
198627.5
169054.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861324060100120140160180119103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#25
42.01.7
35.837.5
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
blue by 12.5
54.51.1
50.449.3
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End5.3
Second
422
#5
32.61.7
28.830.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.8
End2.1
blue by 7.6
694
#14
40.31.1
37.035.9
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Third
1902
#66
20.41.7
18.620.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 7.1
1986
#36
27.51.1
26.725.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned72%Ensemble oddsMissed