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Red92
964226.8
331438.3
546045.5
Blue92
150634.4
91035.8
281312.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11380501001502009292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End4.8
red by 9.7
910
#29
35.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Second
3314
#18
38.3
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
red by 3.9
1506
#20
34.4
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
Third
9642
#34
26.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
red by 13.9
2813
#59
12.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed