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Red107
745130.4
964226.8
887330.8
Blue110
190220.4
950118.3
177152.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93101050150200107110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#70
30.80.1
28.828.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End2.9
blue by 21.9
52.61.2
52.553.7
Auto19.8
Teleop27.2
End5.6
Second
7451
#42
30.40.1
32.933.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 10.0
1902
#66
20.41.2
21.122.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Third
9642
#34
26.80.1
23.723.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
red by 8.6
9501
#50
18.31.2
17.018.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsMissed