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Red61
440325.8
942710.8
157434.2
Blue49
44942.0
833810.5
913413.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8766204060801001201406149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#27
34.21.0
35.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 7.8
449
#21
42.00.9
41.340.4
Auto16.0
Teleop22.2
End3.8
Second
4403
#52
25.81.0
28.127.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.4
red by 12.3
9134
#64
13.50.9
10.59.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Third
9427
#60
10.81.0
12.811.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
red by 0.3
8338
#58
10.50.9
10.69.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed