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Red57
940510.9
901524.8
153832.1
Blue138
5128.8
452243.0
331438.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691175010015020057138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#43
32.10.7
32.832.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End2.0
blue by 10.9
43.02.5
39.942.4
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Second
9015
#38
24.80.7
23.723.0
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 13.5
3314
#18
38.32.5
34.336.8
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Third
9405
#72
10.90.7
11.510.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End0.3
blue by 17.9
51
#46
28.82.5
26.128.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsEarned