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Red104
14835.3
169054.5
553421.9
Blue90
150634.4
479539.1
943226.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010640608012014016018020010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.7
52.251.5
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End5.3
red by 15.3
4795
#35
39.10.6
38.738.2
Auto12.5
Teleop25.5
End1.1
Second
148
#24
35.30.7
36.235.5
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
red by 0.9
1506
#20
34.40.6
33.633.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
Third
5534
#57
21.90.7
26.325.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 4.8
9432
#62
26.70.6
26.225.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
80%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed