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Red91
808528.8
965916.5
402839.0
Blue72
459318.6
698915.3
171033.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9371204060801001201409172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.7
37.438.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4
red by 5.2
1710
#16
33.80.0
34.834.8
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
Second
8085
#48
28.80.7
27.928.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.5
red by 10.2
4593
#61
18.60.0
17.817.8
Auto9.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
9659
#33
16.50.7
16.016.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 1.2
6989
#73
15.30.0
14.414.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
75%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsMissed