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Red87
492027.1
593435.0
84026.5
Blue89
42232.6
170013.1
36847.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91107204060801201401601808789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#15
35.00.2
31.631.7
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
blue by 12.1
368
#13
47.00.4
48.347.9
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Second
4920
#69
27.10.2
26.826.9
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
blue by 5.5
422
#5
32.60.4
33.232.9
Auto9.8
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Third
840
#47
26.50.2
26.126.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 13.4
1700
#63
13.10.4
13.212.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed73%Ensemble oddsMissed