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Red85
81539.5
5128.8
2744.1
Blue65
190220.4
64923.9
91035.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939402003004005008565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#28
44.10.1
45.145.2
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
red by 8.3
910
#29
35.81.7
37.435.7
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Second
51
#46
28.80.1
28.628.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 4.9
649
#40
23.91.7
25.523.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
8153
#41
9.50.1
10.210.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
blue by 11.0
1902
#66
20.41.7
22.220.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed