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Red112
198627.5
150634.4
521630.0
Blue30
950118.3
871711.3
440325.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10558020408012014016011230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#20
34.40.1
33.033.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 8.6
4403
#52
25.81.9
27.125.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.4
Second
5216
#12
30.00.1
28.328.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 11.7
9501
#50
18.31.9
18.116.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
1986
#36
27.50.1
28.128.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 16.2
8717
#67
11.31.9
12.911.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed