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Red107
479539.1
593435.0
808528.8
Blue58
492027.1
962418.1
913413.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11751010015010758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#35
39.10.6
38.238.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.5
End1.1
red by 12.0
4920
#69
27.10.3
26.927.2
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
Second
5934
#15
35.00.6
31.732.3
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
red by 16.8
9624
#37
18.10.3
17.217.5
Auto7.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
8085
#48
28.80.6
28.529.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.5
red by 15.3
9134
#64
13.50.3
9.69.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsEarned