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Red56
698915.3
964226.8
942710.8
Blue103
84026.5
423732.2
281142.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45122010015020056103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9642
#34
26.80.4
23.824.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.8
End1.5
blue by 15.6
42.40.1
44.144.3
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
Second
6989
#73
15.30.4
14.414.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 16.9
4237
#23
32.20.1
30.630.7
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
9427
#60
10.80.4
11.812.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 15.7
840
#47
26.50.1
26.226.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned77%Ensemble oddsEarned