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Red138
150634.4
36847.0
205442.9
Blue117
206734.3
546045.5
353842.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139136100110120130150160170180138117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#13
47.00.3
47.447.7
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 1.5
45.50.3
46.145.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End4.8
Second
42.90.3
43.343.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.6
End6.2
red by 0.5
3538
#10
42.50.3
42.742.5
Auto13.0
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Third
1506
#20
34.40.3
34.534.8
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 0.1
2067
#26
34.30.3
34.934.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End4.8