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Red145
91035.8
42232.6
2744.1
Blue119
58141.8
69440.3
402839.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127134050100150200250300350145119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#28
44.10.4
45.445.8
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
red by 2.3
581
#11
41.80.1
41.641.5
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
910
#29
35.80.4
37.037.5
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End3.5
blue by 4.5
694
#14
40.30.1
40.140.0
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Third
422
#5
32.60.4
33.333.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.8
End2.1
blue by 6.3
39.00.1
38.838.7
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4