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Red133
943226.7
452243.0
169054.5
Blue83
281142.4
331438.3
10342.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351425010020025030013383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.2
54.154.4
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End5.3
red by 12.0
42.41.0
44.243.2
Auto13.6
Teleop22.1
End6.7
Second
43.00.2
42.742.9
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
red by 1.0
103
#25
42.01.0
43.842.7
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End2.3
Third
9432
#62
26.70.2
26.526.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End-0.1
blue by 11.6
3314
#18
38.31.0
40.039.0
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9