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Red101
157434.2
546045.5
206734.3
Blue152
69440.3
402839.0
58141.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12613450100150200250101152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.3
45.845.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End4.8
red by 3.7
581
#11
41.80.6
41.542.1
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
2067
#26
34.30.3
34.634.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End4.8
blue by 6.0
694
#14
40.30.6
40.040.6
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Third
1574
#27
34.20.3
34.634.2
Auto13.4
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 4.7
39.00.6
38.739.3
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4