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Red33
406518.3
5930.5
32429.5
Blue45
555730.6
94029.8
409110.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4845304060703345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#1
30.50.8
18.818.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.9
End4.9
blue by 0.1
30.60.0
25.525.5
Auto12.7
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Second
4065
#13
18.31.3
13.011.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 7.6
4091
#30
10.60.0
10.210.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Third
3242
#51
9.51.3
7.66.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.9
blue by 0.3
9402
#46
9.80.0
9.19.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed