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Red63
832419.7
80124.1
647311.4
Blue70
186021.5
38624.2
190218.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455710203040507080906370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#18
24.10.8
20.020.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End2.6
blue by 0.1
386
#14
24.21.2
19.821.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Second
8324
#12
19.71.0
13.514.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 1.8
21.51.4
13.114.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Third
6473
#31
11.41.0
8.59.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 7.1
1902
#19
18.61.2
17.418.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned