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Red63
8622.2
393216.9
707213.2
Blue52
18040.6
15574.9
93008.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5247304060706352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#9
22.21.9
16.918.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
blue by 18.4
180
#5
40.60.1
35.335.5
Auto15.0
Teleop22.6
End2.9
Second
3932
#23
16.91.4
13.414.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 8.5
9300
#33
8.40.2
5.35.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Third
7072
#50
13.21.7
9.811.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.6
red by 8.2
1557
#47
4.90.2
9.39.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed