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Red39
694823.6
881714.0
80579.6
Blue40
97287.7
20804.9
152316.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060801001201403940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#16
23.60.3
16.316.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 6.9
1523
#15
16.70.1
12.612.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Second
8817
#41
14.00.2
12.512.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 6.3
9728
#43
7.70.2
8.89.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Third
8057
#52
9.60.3
7.17.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End1.6
red by 4.7
2080
#59
4.90.2
10.010.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed