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Red20
7910.1
858124.5
87888.4
Blue45
105619.6
581619.6
27977.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353420253040452045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.3
14.112.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 4.8
1056
#10
19.61.2
10.611.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
79
#17
10.10.9
8.37.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.6
blue by 9.5
5816
#27
19.61.0
14.715.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End0.6
Third
8788
#42
8.40.9
9.58.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 0.6
2797
#60
7.81.6
5.67.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed