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Red15
96709.1
32429.5
401313.6
Blue38
406518.3
90408.6
15574.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263310203040501538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#45
13.60.6
9.48.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 4.6
4065
#13
18.30.1
11.711.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Second
3242
#51
9.51.1
6.35.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.9
red by 0.9
9040
#36
8.60.1
7.97.8
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
9670
#35
9.11.1
8.97.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 4.2
1557
#47
4.90.1
9.59.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed