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Red55
40248.0
832419.7
555730.6
Blue53
80669.5
740315.5
8622.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5542020801001205553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.4
25.525.9
Auto12.7
Teleop15.6
End2.4
red by 8.5
86
#9
22.20.3
18.719.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
Second
8324
#12
19.70.5
14.515.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 4.2
7403
#24
15.50.4
12.512.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Third
4024
#37
8.00.7
8.49.1
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End1.9
blue by 1.6
8066
#39
9.50.3
8.58.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed