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Red59
694823.6
190218.6
514516.0
Blue17
93008.4
877516.3
94029.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573520801005917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#16
23.61.1
16.717.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 7.3
8775
#20
16.31.2
18.116.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Second
1902
#19
18.60.7
19.520.2
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.9
red by 8.8
9402
#46
9.81.2
10.89.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Third
5145
#26
16.00.7
12.913.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 7.6
9300
#33
8.41.2
5.54.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed