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Red40
80124.1
96709.1
409110.6
Blue41
401313.6
97785.9
17447.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471901030406070804041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#18
24.10.1
22.322.2
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End2.6
red by 10.5
4013
#45
13.61.2
8.810.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Second
4091
#30
10.60.1
9.19.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
red by 3.1
1744
#40
7.61.2
6.07.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Third
9670
#35
9.10.1
7.97.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 3.3
9778
#56
5.92.0
6.18.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed