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Red43
80579.6
406518.3
581619.6
Blue31
63225.3
31646.9
8622.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3938303540454331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5816
#27
19.60.5
15.716.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End0.6
blue by 2.6
86
#9
22.20.2
19.018.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
Second
4065
#13
18.30.9
11.612.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 11.4
3164
#57
6.90.2
7.47.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
8057
#52
9.60.9
7.58.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End1.6
red by 4.3
6322
#61
5.30.3
7.77.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed