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Red64
5930.5
740315.5
362711.2
Blue30
15574.9
13697.7
93132.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions451704060806430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#1
30.51.4
19.621.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.9
End4.9
red by 22.8
1369
#48
7.71.0
6.55.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Second
7403
#24
15.52.4
12.815.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.6
End1.3
red by 10.6
1557
#47
4.91.0
9.48.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Third
3627
#29
11.21.4
5.26.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.8
red by 8.6
9313
#55
2.60.6
3.12.5
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned